Bank of England keeps options open amid mixed signals on labour market
On July 14, 2025, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey indicated that reductions to interest rates may be considered if the UK’s jobs market weakens, prompted by cooling economic momentum . The pound dropped to a three-week low after his comments, and markets raised odds of an August rate cut past 88%.
Bailey stressed that rate decisions remain contingent on inflation and employment data. While European markets felt mild fallout from U.S. tariff tensions, bond yields are increasingly volatile.
The Bank is signaling flexibility amid inflation easing alongside nascent signs of sluggish demand.
This statement comes as central banks globally contend with trade uncertainties and political pressures—most notably from U.S. President Trump’s critique of Federal Reserve independence . Bailey framed bond market resilience and inflation stability as crucial for preserving monetary credibility.
UK policymakers now face competing priorities: support growth via potential rate cuts while protecting against entrenched inflation, making the BoE’s upcoming decisions pivotal for global markets.
Adedayo Obadina
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